Empowering numerical weather predictions with drones as meteorological tools

Climate change is making extreme weather events worse, empowering meteorological phenomena such as storms, hurricanes, heatwaves, and droughts. Against this backdrop, numerical weather predictions (NWPs), which use complex mathematical models that simulate atmospheric conditions, have become critical to protect people and businesses from these events and other weather-borne disasters.

Unsurprisingly, NWP models need a massive amount of daily data to make accurate predictions. While some of this data comes from satellite images and ground-based stations, a fine atmospheric vertical structure is collected by sensors mounted on weather balloons, released simultaneously every day by meteorological agencies worldwide. These snapshots of temperature, humidity, pressure, and wind at different altitudes provide a detailed, real-time picture of the atmosphere that helps scientists initialize NWP models. However, maintaining weather balloon observations is a costly and difficult task, which severely limits the spread and coverage of daily measurements. But what if inexpensive drones equipped with sensors could help support NWPs just like weather balloons do?

In a recent study, a research team led by Professor Jun Inoue from the National Institute of Polar Research, Japan, conducted a two-month field campaign in Tsukuba City to investigate whether daily drone-based measurements could be seamlessly made and uploaded to support NWPs. The study was made available online on December 28, 2024, and was published in Volume 130, Issue 1 of the Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres on January 16, 2025.

 “We instigated this field campaign to assess the feasibility of obtaining continuous daily measurements during a period of at least one month using uncrewed aircraft systems (UASs) or drones, to distribute the data in a format designated for NWP, and to evaluate data quality compared to that obtained using more conventional meteorological methods,” says Prof. Inoue.

During a two-month period, the research team tested three different types of drones. One of them was a meteorological hexacopter with a suite of built-in meteorological sensors, whereas the other two were commercial quadcopter drones onto which meteorological sensors were mounted. Because of flight regulations in urban areas, drones could only ascend to a maximum height of 900 m. Every day during the study period, members of the team would launch these drones at designated times and use a laptop to convert the gathered data into an appropriate format before uploading it.

The researchers compared the data obtained using the drones with routine radiosonde data gathered nearby using weather balloons. Notably, air temperature, humidity, and wind speed measurements from drones did not differ significantly from those of weather balloons, underlining the potential of these devices to support NWP systems in a very cost-effective way. Moreover, data could be converted and uploaded within 30 minutes of making the measurements, which aligns well with current standard operational procedures.

“The results of our field campaign showed that twice-daily UAS profiling is feasible from the viewpoint of data quality and data transfer for the NWP systems,” says Prof. Inoue. He further adds, “We also highlight that long-term data validation for each UAS using well-established reference instruments is critical to demonstrate the operational capability of drones for next-generation meteorological observation systems.”

The benefits of using inexpensive drones to make daily meteorological measurements are manifold. They can be easily implemented in sparse meteorological observation areas, such as polar regions, developing countries, and mountain areas, to complement conventional systems. Since special academic knowledge is not required, trained locals can conduct the necessary tasks and extend the range and density of meteorological data throughout the globe. In turn, this could significantly improve the accuracy of NWP systems, leading to accurate weather forecasting and, most importantly, disaster prevention via early warning.

###

About National Institute of Polar Research, Japan
Founded in 1973, the National Institute of Polar Research (NIPR) is an inter-university research institute that conducts comprehensive scientific research and observations in the polar regions. NIPR is one of the four institutes constituting the Research Organization of Information and Systems (ROIS) and engages in comprehensive research via observation stations in the Arctic and Antarctica. It strives to promote polar science by soliciting collaboration research projects publicly, as well as by providing samples, materials, and information. NIPR plays a special role as the only institute in Japan that comprehensively pursues observations and research efforts in both the Antarctic and Arctic regions.
Website: https://www.nipr.ac.jp/english/index.html

About Professor Jun Inoue from National Institute of Polar Research, Japan
Dr. Jun Inoue obtained his Master’s and PhD degrees from Hokkaido University, Japan, in 1999 and 2001, respectively. He currently serves as a Professor at the National Institute of Polar Research, Japan. His research interests lie in the fields of atmospheric and hydrosphere science, particularly in the Arctic and Antarctic regions. He has published over 114 papers on these topics and has received awards from the Japan Meteorological Society on three occasions.

About the Research Organization of Information and Systems (ROIS)
ROIS is a parent organization of four national institutes (National Institute of Polar Research, National Institute of Informatics, the Institute of Statistical Mathematics and National Institute of Genetics) and the Joint Support-Center for Data Science Research. It is ROIS's mission to promote integrated, cutting-edge research that goes beyond the barriers of these institutions, in addition to facilitating their research activities, as members of inter-university research institutes.