Predicted versus observed epidemic curves over time. (IMAGE)

The University of Hong Kong

Predicted versus observed epidemic curves over time.

Caption

Our model aggregates population outflow from Wuhan from January 1 to 24, 2020 to provide a reference growth pattern (i.e. epidemic curves) for COVID-19's spread. Differences in the predicted and confirmed growth in confirmed cases can signal higher levels of COVID-19 community transmission.

Credit

Nature

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