Public Release: 

Climate change and dengue in Latin America

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

According to models of dengue transmission in Latin America under various global warming scenarios, limiting global mean temperatures to 2°C above pre-industrial levels could prevent approximately 2.8 million dengue cases in Latin America per year by the end of the century, compared with a business-as-usual scenario, in which global mean temperatures increase to 3.7°C by the year 2100; limiting temperatures to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels could prevent an additional 0.5 million cases per year, according to the authors.

Article #17-18945: "Limiting global-mean temperature increase to 1.5-2 °C could reduce the incidence and spatial spread of dengue fever in Latin America," by Felipe J. Colón-González et al.

MEDIA CONTACT: Felipe J. Colón-González, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UNITED KINGDOM; tel: +44-1603591375, +44-7539-731470; e-mail: <>


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