Variations in ice sheet height influence global climate

In a study published today in PNAS, Dr William Roberts of Bristol's School of Geographical Sciences and colleagues use computer models to simulate a Heinrich event in Hudson Bay, Canada, adjusting the models to consider freshwater influx only, changing ice sheet height only or both factors together.

Dr Roberts said: "There's lots of evidence to suggest that changing the height of the ice sheets could change atmospheric circulation or even ocean circulation but the role this forcing might play during Heinrich events has generally been overlooked. Our study aimed to see what effects such forcing might have."

The researchers found that the climate effects in the simulations that considered both freshwater influx and changing topography were not simply the sum of the climate effects of each component considered separately.

In a simulation of changing ice sheet height only, a warm sea surface was seen in the central North Atlantic and Florida became warmer and wetter. Both these effects have been observed in the paleoclimate record but cannot be accounted for with freshwater influx models alone.

In other regions, for example the tropical Atlantic, both changes in ice sheet height and freshwater influx appeared to affect the climate response.

These results indicate that, although the altered atmospheric circulation due to changing ice sheet height is not the sole driver of climate change in Heinrich events, its previously unrecognized contribution to global climate may merit consideration.

Dr Roberts said: "Our results suggest that the simple paradigm of a Heinrich event causing climate change via freshwater inputs into the North Atlantic needs to be revised. They also suggest that you can't use the climate changes that occur during Heinrich Events as a simple template for the changes that might occur from an influx of freshwater to the North Atlantic."

Paper

'Topography's crucial role in Heinrich Events' by William H. G. Roberts, Paul J. Valdes and Antony J. Payne in PNAS

The Cabot Institute at the University of Bristol carries out fundamental and responsive research on risks and uncertainties in a changing environment. It drives new research in the interconnected areas of climate change, natural hazards, water and food security, low carbon energy, and future cities. Its research fuses rigorous statistical and numerical modelling with a deep understanding of social, environmental and engineered systems – past, present and future. It seeks to engage wider society by listening to, exploring with, and challenging its stakeholders to develop a shared response to 21st Century challenges. Find out more at http://www.bristol.ac.uk/cabot