Graphic from Austin Dashboard (IMAGE)
Caption
Fig. 1 Retrospective validation of the forecasting model using data from March 12, 2020, through February 1, 2021. The graph compares the number of COVID-19 ICU patients in the Austin area (black dots) to forecasts that were made two weeks in advance (blue lines). The blue shading around each two-week forecast indicates the 95% prediction intervals. The yellow, orange, and red shading in the background indicate the timing of COVID-19 alert stages 3, 4, and 5 in the Austin area, respectively.
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The University of Texas at Austin
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