Graphic from Austin Dashboard (IMAGE) University of Texas at Austin Caption Fig. 1 Retrospective validation of the forecasting model using data from March 12, 2020, through February 1, 2021. The graph compares the number of COVID-19 ICU patients in the Austin area (black dots) to forecasts that were made two weeks in advance (blue lines). The blue shading around each two-week forecast indicates the 95% prediction intervals. The yellow, orange, and red shading in the background indicate the timing of COVID-19 alert stages 3, 4, and 5 in the Austin area, respectively. Credit The University of Texas at Austin Usage Restrictions Please use with credit License Original content Disclaimer: AAAS and EurekAlert! are not responsible for the accuracy of news releases posted to EurekAlert! by contributing institutions or for the use of any information through the EurekAlert system.