Figure 1 (IMAGE)

Institute for Basic Science

Figure 1

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Global changes in lightning, fires and smoke, expressed per oC global warming. Figure (A) shows the modeled change in lightning flash rate density, (B) the percentage fraction of land burned per year, and (C) the aerosol optical depth changes due to fires, which is an indicator for the amount of smoke in the atmosphere. In the model simulations the amount of CO2 quadruples over a 140-year period with respect to the pre-industrial period; this corresponds to a global mean surface warming of about 4oC.

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Institute for Basic Science

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